Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 182.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -2800 KENN +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +11 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -19.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 188.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -15.9 (-4.9) | 174.6 (-1.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -14.7 (-3.7) | 174.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -14.8 (-3.8) | 169.8 (+3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -16.5 (-5.5) | 173.6 (-0.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.2 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#15) | -1.1 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#18) | 0.06 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.94 (#13) | -0.07 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#19) | 0.443 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 43.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.