Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -250 STBK +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +19 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -7.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -5.6 (+13.4) | 136.7 (-15.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -6.0 (+13.0) | 134.9 (-13.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -5.9 (+13.1) | 136.4 (-15.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -6.1 (+12.9) | 135.9 (-14.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | MRST 68 – 66 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#168) | -3.1 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#219) | 0.23 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#215) | -0.53 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#217) | 0.488 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.