Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -625 CHSO +455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +8 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -5.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -8.7 (-0.7) | 151.6 (+8.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -5.5 (+2.5) | 145.0 (+15.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -5.4 (+2.6) | 146.0 (+14.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -5.3 (+2.7) | 148.5 (+11.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | FUR 67 – 46 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#174) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#133) | -0.65 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#156) | -0.94 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#90) | 0.438 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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