Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -32.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR -100000 NJIT +5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +49 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -30.3 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -24.2 (+24.8) | 151.2 (+1.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -22.7 (+26.3) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -27.6 (+21.4) | 146.3 (+6.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -26.7 (+22.3) | 148.3 (+4.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#50) | -14.5 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#46) | -1.62 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#51) | -2.49 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#54) | 0.424 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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