Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Ohio Valley Conference · Western Hall · December 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -6.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money WIU +225 / SIUE -278
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual SIUE +5 127 Lost
Massey SIUE -5.1 (+0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 138.4 (-11.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 29% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 18% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -4.8 (-0.2) 138.0 (-11.0) 29% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -5.4 (+0.4) 138.0 (-11.0) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -5.9 (+0.9) 137.4 (-10.4) 28% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -5.2 (+0.2) 136.6 (-9.6) 27% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 SIUE 67 – 47 WIU
Feb 1, 2025 SIUE 69 – 65 WIU
Jan 3, 2025 SIUE 77 – 66 WIU
Mar 2, 2024 WIU 76 – 65 SIUE
Dec 31, 2023 WIU 78 – 70 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU SIUE
Overall 5-26 19-13
Conference 1-19 12-8
Home 4-11 10-5
Away 1-15 8-7
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 63.2 67.7
Avg Pts Against 78.5 65.9
Massey -14.6 (#351) -5.4 (#252)
Bradley-Terry -2.66 (#341) -1.07 (#259)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.97 (#344) -1.70 (#272)
RPI 0.383 (#343) 0.413 (#313)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU SIUE
FG% 40.5% 42.0%
3PT% 29.5% 32.6%
REB / G 32.9 36.4
OREB / G 11.1 11.6
AST / TO 0.55 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.8% 47.7%
TOV% 18.2% 16.0%
ORB% 30.3% 30.7%
FT Rate 24.9% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.5% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 17.1%
DRB% 66.0% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 25.9%

Game Analysis

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