Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MD -1350 ODU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MD -8.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -12.2 (+2.8) | 150.7 (-19.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -7.1 (+7.9) | 148.2 (-17.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -7.6 (+7.4) | 149.0 (-18.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -7.3 (+7.7) | 151.2 (-20.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2020 | MD 85 – 67 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#169) | -3.8 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | -1.18 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#138) | -1.41 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#124) | 0.471 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 36.5% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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