Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -450 GW +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GW -7.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -4.1 (+16.1) | 144.1 (+9.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -2.7 (+14.7) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -4.6 (+16.6) | 143.7 (+10.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -4.0 (+16.0) | 145.2 (+8.8) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#244) | 3.7 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#184) | 1.75 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#182) | 2.46 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#217) | 0.598 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.