Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -122 TEM +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -3.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -1.4 (-4.4) | 141.8 (+7.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -2.3 (-5.3) | 138.9 (+10.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -1.4 (-4.4) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -1.2 (-4.2) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | CLT 80 – 76 TEM |
| Feb 19, 2025 | CLT 78 – 72 TEM |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TEM 90 – 89 CLT |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 58 – 54 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | CLT 73 – 70 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#178) | -0.6 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#232) | 0.04 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#208) | 0.39 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#221) | 0.505 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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