Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -3200 MILW +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -16.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -14.5 (+5.5) | 154.1 (-14.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -14.1 (+5.9) | 151.4 (-11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -14.4 (+5.6) | 152.5 (-12.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -14.9 (+5.1) | 154.1 (-14.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#64) | -2.5 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#81) | -0.13 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#71) | -0.41 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#78) | 0.500 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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