Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -1450 NJIT +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -15.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -10.7 (+8.3) | 143.6 (-2.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -11.8 (+7.2) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -12.2 (+6.8) | 140.9 (+0.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -11.7 (+7.3) | 144.2 (-3.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | PENN 58 – 57 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#229) | -15.8 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#208) | -1.77 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#205) | -2.68 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#175) | 0.429 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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