Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GT +260 CIN -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +23 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -11.9 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -6.4 (-16.6) | 146.7 (-7.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -12.0 (-11.0) | 147.3 (-8.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -7.0 (-16.0) | 145.5 (-6.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -7.9 (-15.1) | 149.4 (-10.4) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | CIN 89 – 54 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#194) | 16.9 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#290) | 1.18 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#304) | 1.74 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#310) | 0.468 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 56.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 44.9% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 2.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 64.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 39.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 11.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.