Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | PUR -1800 WASH +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -16.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -16.5 (-8.5) | 146.1 (+7.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -13.2 (-5.2) | 145.6 (+8.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -14.6 (-6.6) | 143.2 (+10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -15.1 (-7.1) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | PUR 69 – 58 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-9 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 23.8 (#6) | 11.1 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.61 (#7) | 1.50 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.74 (#8) | 2.29 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.675 (#4) | 0.561 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.09 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 39.9% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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