Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -115 FIU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -1.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -0.1 (+6.9) | 145.9 (-10.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.4 (+6.6) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -0.2 (+7.2) | 144.3 (-9.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -0.8 (+7.8) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | JXST 78 – 74 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JXST 65 – 56 FIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JXST 84 – 79 FIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JXST 71 – 67 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FIU 76 – 67 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#239) | 0.2 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#257) | 0.06 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#240) | 0.21 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#272) | 0.507 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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