Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -165 FRES +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FRES +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -2.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FRES -0.1 (-2.9) | 138.7 (+2.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -2.0 (-5.0) | 140.7 (+0.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -0.4 (-3.4) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -1.3 (-4.3) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | FRES 82 – 62 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 2-18 |
| Home | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#299) | -3.3 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.94 (#359) | -0.77 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.04 (#359) | -1.28 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#284) | 0.362 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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