Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | KENN +400 RUTG -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -6.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -4.4 (-2.4) | 155.9 (+0.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -2.1 (-0.1) | 154.7 (+1.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -3.8 (-1.8) | 154.1 (+1.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -4.8 (-2.8) | 156.0 (+0.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#137) | 2.0 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#156) | 1.20 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#127) | 1.70 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#83) | 0.511 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 45.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 44.0% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.4% | 10.5% |
Game Analysis
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