Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -10000 HAMP +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -19.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -14.1 (-0.1) | 138.1 (+13.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -17.9 (-3.9) | 135.9 (+16.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -18.5 (-4.5) | 135.6 (+16.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -15.4 (-1.4) | 139.4 (+12.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#25) | -6.2 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#104) | -1.67 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#67) | -2.45 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#65) | 0.466 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 33.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 39.2% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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