Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -115 AMER -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -5.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -3.1 (-7.1) | 131.8 (+26.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -4.7 (-8.7) | 129.2 (+28.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -3.9 (-7.9) | 131.3 (+26.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -3.5 (-7.5) | 132.2 (+25.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | AMER 88 – 62 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#169) | -5.5 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#100) | -0.13 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#117) | -0.48 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#137) | 0.503 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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