Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | URI -170 COFC +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +38 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | URI -9.9 (+28.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.0 (-30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -10.0 (+28.0) | 159.8 (-15.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -5.8 (+32.2) | 160.2 (-16.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -10.6 (+27.4) | 160.8 (-16.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -10.0 (+28.0) | 161.7 (-17.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | COFC 85 – 70 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#77) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#65) | 1.17 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#66) | 1.74 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#59) | 0.587 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 49.1% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.