Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +220 UNA -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -0.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -0.9 (+13.9) | 144.4 (-15.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -2.1 (+15.1) | 142.1 (-13.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -1.8 (+14.8) | 145.9 (-16.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -1.0 (+14.0) | 147.9 (-18.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | UNA 87 – 83 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#233) | 3.4 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.04 (#359) | -0.07 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.05 (#358) | 0.95 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#309) | 0.492 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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