Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -34.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +49 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -39.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -40.2 (+8.8) | 152.5 (+22.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -26.8 (+22.2) | 156.4 (+18.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -27.0 (+22.0) | 155.1 (+19.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -40.3 (+8.7) | 153.5 (+21.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | MIZ 101 – 79 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 18-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 85.7 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#17) | -17.9 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#58) | -2.28 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#50) | -3.75 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#70) | 0.364 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 36.5% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 57.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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