Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ +350 SLU -455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -13.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -13.5 (+9.5) | 158.8 (-0.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -10.6 (+6.6) | 161.4 (-3.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -12.1 (+8.1) | 160.7 (-2.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -11.6 (+7.6) | 162.9 (-4.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SLU 91 – 76 DUQ |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SLU 90 – 88 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2024 | DUQ 83 – 73 SLU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DUQ 81 – 66 SLU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SLU 90 – 85 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-6 | 19-0 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#141) | 18.0 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#181) | 3.06 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#171) | 4.51 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#181) | 0.611 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 60.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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