Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -12000 TXSO +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +31 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -22.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -18.3 (+12.7) | 152.1 (+14.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -20.6 (+10.4) | 156.4 (+10.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -21.6 (+9.4) | 155.6 (+11.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -20.7 (+10.3) | 154.7 (+12.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | UNM 92 – 55 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#39) | -5.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#50) | -1.97 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#45) | -3.70 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#62) | 0.414 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 41.2% |
Game Analysis
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