Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | WGA +142 CARK -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +21 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -4.6 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -3.7 (-17.3) | 150.8 (+0.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -3.5 (-17.5) | 152.4 (-1.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -3.6 (-17.4) | 147.9 (+3.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -3.5 (-17.5) | 147.9 (+3.1) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CARK 79 – 62 WGA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CARK 82 – 71 WGA |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CARK 75 – 70 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#317) | -2.4 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#263) | -1.10 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#295) | -1.40 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#241) | 0.440 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.