Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +800 RAD -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +15 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -16.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-43.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -11.7 (-3.3) | 144.2 (-33.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -11.0 (-4.0) | 141.0 (-30.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -13.9 (-1.1) | 144.9 (-33.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -12.9 (-2.1) | 144.9 (-33.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 3-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-19 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -20.4 (#363) | -4.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#353) | 1.35 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.56 (#355) | 2.28 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#314) | 0.565 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.