Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -220 SIE +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -0.2 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -0.0 (+12.0) | 143.5 (-15.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -0.9 (+11.1) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -0.5 (+11.5) | 143.2 (-15.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -0.1 (+12.1) | 145.9 (-17.9) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#239) | -3.2 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#207) | 1.45 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#182) | 1.22 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#224) | 0.583 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 10.7% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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