Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SDST +500 BOIS -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -10.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -6.0 (+5.0) | 150.1 (+14.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -7.5 (+6.5) | 150.1 (+14.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -7.1 (+6.1) | 151.0 (+14.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -6.0 (+5.0) | 150.9 (+14.1) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2022 | SDST 68 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#141) | 12.1 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#62) | 1.30 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#48) | 2.63 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#135) | 0.589 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 39.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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