Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UML -320 MRMK +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UML -9.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -7.1 (-0.1) | 134.3 (+20.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -7.8 (-0.8) | 133.8 (+21.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -7.2 (-0.2) | 135.2 (+19.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -8.1 (-1.1) | 136.6 (+18.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | MRMK 74 – 68 UML |
| Nov 30, 2022 | UML 77 – 51 MRMK |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UML 61 – 57 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#263) | -8.7 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#123) | -1.38 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#121) | -1.58 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#88) | 0.470 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 20.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 39.7% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.1% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 56.5% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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