Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SF +125 CLEM -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +15 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -0.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -0.4 (-15.4) | 140.0 (-15.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.5 (-14.5) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -0.5 (-15.5) | 139.9 (-14.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -0.1 (-15.1) | 141.1 (-16.1) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 18-2 |
| Home | 17-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#43) | 9.6 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#74) | 1.58 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#46) | 2.65 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#102) | 0.602 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.