Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -118 BOIS -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -0.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -0.4 (+16.6) | 140.1 (+14.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.5 (+15.5) | 139.8 (+15.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -1.1 (+15.9) | 139.1 (+15.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -1.3 (+15.7) | 139.8 (+15.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | GCU 75 – 58 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#77) | 11.0 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#68) | 1.59 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#73) | 1.90 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#71) | 0.589 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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