Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -410 CAM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +8 | 200 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -10.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.7 (+33.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -9.3 (-17.3) | 156.0 (+44.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -7.6 (-15.6) | 158.9 (+41.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -9.5 (-17.5) | 154.3 (+45.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -9.7 (-17.7) | 156.4 (+43.6) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CAM 84 – 83 W&M |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CAM 96 – 55 W&M |
| Jan 19, 2024 | CAM 77 – 64 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | -4.1 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#111) | -0.48 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#114) | -0.68 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#68) | 0.486 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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