Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +375 TLSA -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +19 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -3.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-48.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -2.3 (-21.3) | 145.8 (-38.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -0.5 (-19.5) | 148.1 (-41.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -1.6 (-20.6) | 148.8 (-41.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -2.3 (-21.3) | 147.6 (-40.6) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | DETM 76 – 72 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#257) | -8.5 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#206) | -1.41 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#242) | -2.49 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#163) | 0.414 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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