Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | STAN +150 CLEM -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -4.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -2.4 (+0.4) | 137.1 (-7.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -2.2 (+0.2) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -2.8 (+0.8) | 137.7 (-7.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -2.1 (+0.1) | 135.7 (-5.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 71 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#79) | 15.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#58) | 2.70 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#67) | 3.46 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#55) | 0.610 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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