Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +114 IOWA -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +10 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -1.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.4 (-10.4) | 136.7 (+21.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -1.3 (-8.7) | 134.8 (+23.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -0.6 (-9.4) | 137.8 (+20.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -0.2 (-9.8) | 137.8 (+20.2) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | IOWA 85 – 79 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#44) | 17.7 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#61) | 2.79 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#57) | 3.73 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#64) | 0.592 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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