Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -470 CHST +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -9.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -7.5 (+3.5) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -9.3 (+1.7) | 134.1 (+10.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -7.4 (+3.6) | 135.7 (+9.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -7.1 (+3.9) | 136.1 (+8.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CHST 70 – 51 CCSU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CCSU 81 – 75 CHST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CCSU 81 – 64 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#284) | -14.0 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#270) | -3.27 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#287) | -4.08 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#261) | 0.377 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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