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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 9.8
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama
@
Duke
|
+6.6 | 168.4 | 73% | 65–85 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Houston
|
+3.3 | 121.2 | 62% | 50–69 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
Auburn
|
+6.3 | 148.3 | 72% | 64–70 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.