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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.9
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Towson
@
Monmouth
|
+1.0 | 130.7 | 54% | 71–72 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Seattle U
|
+6.6 | 136.5 | 73% | 50–60 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
East Texas A&M
|
+1.1 | 134.2 | 54% | 53–70 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
South Carolina State
|
+6.6 | 148.7 | 73% | 59–57 | ✗ |
Louisiana
@
Old Dominion
|
+7.9 | 135.0 | 76% | 72–83 | ✓ |
Colgate
@
Boston University
|
-1.7 | 155.9 | 44% | 58–85 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.