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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.4
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan State
@
UConn
|
-0.3 | 138.0 | 49% | 63–67 | ✗ |
Tennessee
@
Iowa State
|
+4.3 | 141.5 | 65% | 76–62 | ✗ |
Iowa
@
Illinois
|
+6.5 | 145.4 | 72% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.