Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
25–7 on winners spread MAE 10.9 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Michigan +11.4 148.7 79% 72–75 ✓
Arkansas @ Oklahoma -7.8 163.2 25% 83–79 ✓
Virginia @ Notre Dame -6.3 141.7 29% 100–97 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Lamar +6.0 137.9 71% 61–82 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +10.9 151.3 84% 69–77 ✓
Rhode Island @ Dayton +5.3 135.9 72% 81–76 ✗
Arizona State @ UCF +8.2 159.9 79% 76–79 ✓
Syracuse @ NC State +13.1 153.8 87% 68–88 ✓
Toledo @ Akron +13.6 158.9 86% 81–91 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +6.6 161.0 81% 57–72 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan -6.9 137.8 27% 65–100 ✗
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +8.5 147.9 77% 89–78 ✗
McNeese @ SE Louisiana -12.8 133.7 15% 76–66 ✓
Providence @ UConn +14.5 158.2 87% 81–87 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Louis +12.7 159.2 84% 76–79 ✓
Missouri @ Alabama +13.2 163.3 82% 64–90 ✓
Indiana State @ UIC +7.1 142.2 80% 74–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech +11.8 154.3 85% 65–71 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian -1.6 135.3 38% 75–81 ✗
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois -2.8 141.3 44% 65–85 ✗
Kansas State @ West Virginia +6.8 147.3 72% 54–59 ✓
Purdue @ Indiana -1.3 144.4 43% 67–72 ✗
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt +5.7 160.2 70% 55–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +14.1 161.5 85% 84–86 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago -5.1 142.3 26% 85–64 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette -3.7 153.3 37% 62–86 ✗
Boise State @ San José State -12.0 139.7 16% 89–58 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Nevada +4.1 141.0 67% 60–66 ✓
New Mexico @ UNLV -5.9 152.3 25% 89–61 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern +16.8 144.3 90% 69–80 ✓
Lehigh @ Army +0.3 151.3 55% 64–67 ✓
Baylor @ Cincinnati +0.7 148.1 61% 57–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.