And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–10 on winners spread MAE 10.6 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
NC State @ Louisville +7.0 157.0 72% 77–118 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State -1.4 145.4 42% 80–65 ✓
Texas Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +7.3 150.6 81% 69–79 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +1.3 144.5 59% 96–100 ✓
Yale @ Howard -6.2 142.9 25% 87–81 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana -0.2 134.2 52% 62–74 ✗
Northwestern State @ Lamar +9.2 136.4 80% 70–68 ✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama -8.7 144.9 21% 72–65 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +1.9 143.1 59% 81–76 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +3.5 134.2 69% 66–58 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Nicholls -2.6 142.1 39% 92–72 ✓
Houston Christian @ McNeese +17.3 134.5 90% 69–73 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stephen F. Austin +17.0 140.3 88% 70–74 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +4.6 132.3 73% 63–72 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -12.8 133.7 15% 80–88 ✗
Belmont @ Bradley -2.4 150.4 41% 84–95 ✗
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -5.4 139.8 27% 74–66 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +1.3 144.0 56% 76–64 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ LSU New Orleans -0.3 144.6 46% 78–84 ✗
Oregon @ Indiana +12.1 144.0 88% 74–92 ✓
Arizona @ Kansas -2.5 149.6 45% 78–82 ✗
Alabama State @ Southern +4.8 152.7 70% 68–69 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Murray State +4.5 138.8 67% 89–60 ✗
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -0.4 157.9 50% 92–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.