Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–7 on winners spread MAE 10.7 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.5 141.9 17% 81–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +1.7 133.2 60% 59–69 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +6.7 139.5 74% 70–62 ✗
Nicholls @ UT Rio Grande Valley +1.5 146.4 60% 82–75 ✗
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -11.4 132.2 16% 66–77 ✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +7.0 147.4 73% 72–62 ✗
Iowa @ Ohio State +6.9 156.0 79% 65–82 ✓
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -3.7 142.2 31% 74–73 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +2.5 131.2 63% 59–69 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans -1.3 149.5 41% 74–58 ✓
NC State @ Duke +20.1 135.1 90% 64–74 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stephen F. Austin +6.6 126.3 69% 72–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alabama State +3.7 146.8 59% 80–69 ✗
Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -17.0 129.1 11% 63–42 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -2.7 152.7 39% 82–98 ✗
Towson @ Northeastern +1.7 136.5 59% 75–65 ✗
UCLA @ USC -1.6 142.3 46% 82–76 ✓
Iowa State @ Arizona +1.2 153.7 62% 75–86 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -4.6 134.9 34% 66–41 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.