And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–10 on winners spread MAE 8.2 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ South Carolina -5.4 136.1 31% 72–68 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate -9.7 157.0 16% 92–85 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +5.5 135.4 73% 72–73 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +9.9 151.5 82% 80–74 ✗
Louisville @ NC State -7.0 139.3 26% 91–66 ✓
Florida State @ Wake Forest +4.3 137.5 66% 72–70 ✗
Stanford @ Georgia Tech +0.7 146.2 51% 52–60 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Rhode Island +0.9 137.7 53% 64–68 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +12.5 143.6 87% 63–75 ✓
Dayton @ Fordham -5.9 145.8 28% 93–76 ✓
Davidson @ Massachusetts +1.1 144.7 54% 77–68 ✗
VCU @ George Washington -4.5 137.5 29% 80–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +9.8 147.1 81% 64–78 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland +0.1 147.3 49% 64–60 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +1.2 140.5 53% 60–63 ✓
Boston University @ Bucknell +4.6 138.9 70% 60–76 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +2.7 140.7 56% 68–59 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +9.1 133.6 80% 54–80 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +6.0 150.8 76% 72–96 ✓
Wofford @ The Citadel -12.8 139.3 13% 74–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charleston Southern +0.8 142.6 57% 70–71 ✓
UTSA @ Wichita State +5.1 148.7 74% 64–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +5.4 154.8 69% 82–68 ✗
Evansville @ Missouri State +3.1 134.5 62% 54–71 ✓
Belmont @ Valparaiso -3.6 157.7 43% 86–101 ✗
Xavier @ Providence +0.2 144.8 49% 91–82 ✗
Washington @ Ohio State +11.8 147.6 86% 69–93 ✓
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State +13.4 146.1 86% 67–101 ✓
Troy @ Louisiana -10.4 133.9 17% 74–56 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas Tech +12.0 142.8 86% 106–111 ✓
Notre Dame @ Boston College -4.4 141.4 30% 97–94 ✓
Drake @ Illinois State -2.4 133.5 26% 84–77 ✓
California @ Duke +23.5 146.2 91% 57–78 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas +7.3 146.3 81% 58–70 ✓
Oklahoma @ Missouri +6.8 149.1 78% 58–82 ✓
Wyoming @ New Mexico +16.2 143.0 88% 67–71 ✓
Monmouth @ Stony Brook -0.5 145.6 42% 79–69 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Arlington -0.7 144.5 45% 79–82 ✗
NJIT @ Bryant +13.5 147.8 87% 66–88 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +2.8 146.3 59% 77–81 ✓
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +4.4 151.6 67% 90–88 ✗
Queens University @ Bellarmine -7.9 151.7 24% 92–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.