And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–6 on winners spread MAE 8.1 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Lafayette @ Lehigh +4.7 143.9 71% 59–64 ✓
Seattle U @ Pacific +3.2 135.0 65% 54–56 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -2.4 148.4 40% 74–71 ✓
Canisius @ Fairfield +9.6 135.7 85% 55–61 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +11.4 151.8 88% 57–66 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly -1.1 162.8 45% 93–78 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Fresno State -1.9 134.6 44% 68–57 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +21.0 147.5 91% 66–68 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State -5.8 151.1 31% 86–62 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +4.5 142.3 70% 85–70 ✗
Nevada @ New Mexico +6.5 144.7 77% 73–80 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -11.2 141.5 17% 75–69 ✓
California @ Stanford +3.3 140.9 65% 78–66 ✗
Omaha @ Kansas City -3.9 144.2 30% 77–60 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -5.9 147.2 25% 77–81 ✗
Weber State @ Montana State +6.1 145.3 76% 88–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ California Baptist +1.0 141.2 57% 71–78 ✓
Tennessee @ Alabama +7.2 161.3 73% 79–73 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +7.6 144.4 78% 91–102 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -12.3 154.6 15% 85–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ Arizona State +0.2 140.4 52% 68–82 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego +5.3 140.7 70% 61–59 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +12.4 149.7 85% 68–89 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida +5.5 157.8 70% 75–89 ✓
Oregon @ Washington +7.7 141.3 78% 57–72 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercyhurst +8.3 128.6 74% 59–61 ✓
USC @ Wisconsin +6.3 155.0 75% 73–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.