Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
6–8 on winners spread MAE 12.4 14 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Louisville @ Duke +8.7 151.3 81% 52–83 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +10.9 146.4 86% 79–78 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +10.4 140.6 85% 66–65 ✗
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman +12.3 143.9 88% 73–82 ✓
Penn State @ Ohio State +12.0 151.3 88% 78–84 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Stonehill -2.4 134.2 37% 59–61 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +2.8 130.6 60% 64–55 ✗
Arizona @ BYU -0.7 157.0 46% 86–83 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M +1.2 146.0 56% 80–60 ✗
Alabama State @ Texas Southern -0.2 151.9 49% 64–96 ✗
Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin +16.6 141.1 85% 67–69 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls +2.7 152.5 68% 80–62 ✗
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh -0.4 145.8 46% 76–80 ✗
Michigan State @ Rutgers -16.5 136.0 13% 88–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.