Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–17 on winners spread MAE 10.1 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UIC @ Southern Illinois +2.7 138.5 60% 68–66 ✗
Rutgers @ USC +11.8 147.3 87% 75–78 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan -7.9 145.2 19% 59–62 ✗
Harvard @ Yale +13.1 143.3 87% 67–65 ✗
New Haven @ Saint Francis -1.6 131.2 45% 81–69 ✓
UMBC @ UAlbany -1.6 136.0 42% 68–65 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar -6.6 143.5 25% 64–63 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -5.7 141.1 25% 85–58 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +6.1 157.4 76% 86–103 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +0.3 135.9 53% 72–68 ✗
Washington @ Northwestern +1.0 142.6 60% 76–62 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +1.1 153.7 57% 94–87 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -2.5 148.6 37% 64–81 ✗
Georgia State @ South Alabama +5.3 136.3 73% 67–69 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Arizona -3.9 144.2 35% 79–62 ✓
South Florida @ Temple -5.3 153.3 27% 78–79 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Southern Indiana -2.7 129.2 36% 58–46 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.9 152.3 68% 69–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -8.9 145.8 20% 104–73 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +6.4 152.0 77% 69–83 ✓
Delaware @ UTEP +1.6 131.0 52% 55–70 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming +1.4 137.3 61% 57–68 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -14.7 143.3 15% 90–80 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +3.3 136.7 64% 82–87 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State -4.5 152.3 29% 79–86 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston +11.6 133.5 84% 67–83 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +12.4 145.1 87% 65–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne +0.0 144.0 47% 61–76 ✓
Purdue @ Maryland -13.6 144.8 14% 93–63 ✓
Alabama @ Florida +6.1 164.5 72% 77–100 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +5.0 139.0 71% 58–75 ✓
Siena @ Canisius -7.8 133.0 18% 78–63 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina +2.4 151.5 61% 88–74 ✗
Chattanooga @ Furman +9.9 142.4 82% 70–75 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas State -11.6 153.2 18% 95–61 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas +15.8 148.3 89% 64–99 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa +6.9 151.1 77% 83–93 ✓
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +13.7 148.0 87% 76–75 ✗
TCU @ Colorado -1.8 149.4 38% 61–87 ✗
Minnesota @ Penn State -1.3 142.1 33% 75–77 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -7.8 133.5 21% 78–81 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -0.1 146.6 50% 72–65 ✓
Wright State @ Green Bay -2.4 145.4 39% 83–75 ✓
Marist @ Niagara -9.9 126.9 17% 58–46 ✓
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +4.7 144.3 69% 65–72 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe -9.3 144.3 17% 83–79 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +11.5 142.8 86% 78–76 ✗
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee +6.4 153.4 78% 90–88 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +6.5 159.6 77% 65–76 ✓
Illinois @ Nebraska +5.1 143.9 67% 78–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.