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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.0
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois
@
Houston
|
+0.1 | 136.6 | 49% | 65–55 | ✗ |
Arkansas
@
Arizona
|
+6.2 | 161.9 | 78% | 88–109 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Duke
|
+6.7 | 136.3 | 72% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Alabama
@
Michigan
|
+7.6 | 176.3 | 79% | 77–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.