← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mercyhurst
@
San Francisco
|
+20.3 | 133.4 | 91% | 59–87 | ✓ |
Tarleton State
@
Indiana State
|
+7.8 | 141.9 | 78% | 71–87 | ✓ |
UMBC
@
Georgetown
|
+15.4 | 148.1 | 88% | 62–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.