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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 11.0
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+4.6 | 167.8 | 61% | 65–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.4 | 122.2 | 60% | 50–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.0 | 142.5 | 70% | 64–70 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.