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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–1 on winners
spread MAE 2.5
2 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chattanooga
@
UC Irvine
|
+3.1 | 145.9 | 62% | 85–84 | ✗ |
Villanova
@
USC
|
-0.2 | 143.2 | 50% | 60–59 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.