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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 20.9
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaware State
@
Temple
|
— | — | — | 65–83 | — |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Georgia
|
+14.2 | 140.6 | 83% | 29–94 | ✓ |
Southern Indiana
@
Butler
|
— | — | — | 58–88 | — |
South Dakota
@
Creighton
|
— | — | — | 76–92 | — |
Alabama A&M
@
Indiana
|
— | — | — | 51–98 | — |
Tarleton State
@
LSU
|
— | — | — | 60–96 | — |
Southern
@
Marquette
|
+15.9 | 146.5 | 86% | 82–100 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
New Mexico
|
— | — | — | 54–76 | — |
South Carolina Upstate
@
Fresno State
|
— | — | — | 67–66 | — |
North Dakota State
@
UC Davis
|
— | — | — | 68–80 | — |
North Alabama
@
Mississippi State
|
— | — | — | 62–86 | — |
Eastern Washington
@
Loyola Marymount
|
— | — | — | 62–70 | — |
Long Island University
@
IU Indianapolis
|
+5.7 | 154.8 | 75% | 94–90 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.