Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–7 on winners spread MAE 10.3 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.8 142.0 18% 81–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +2.9 131.3 73% 59–69 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +6.7 137.6 75% 70–62 ✗
Nicholls @ UT Rio Grande Valley +1.1 147.4 54% 82–75 ✗
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -10.2 133.7 18% 66–77 ✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +7.0 147.6 71% 72–62 ✗
Iowa @ Ohio State +8.8 156.4 78% 65–82 ✓
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -6.2 139.6 24% 74–73 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +3.8 131.2 71% 59–69 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans -1.8 145.2 39% 74–58 ✓
NC State @ Duke +17.0 136.4 90% 64–74 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stephen F. Austin +8.2 131.9 70% 72–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alabama State +3.1 149.5 56% 80–69 ✗
Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -14.5 127.8 11% 63–42 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -1.2 151.3 47% 82–98 ✗
Towson @ Northeastern +1.6 133.6 50% 75–65 ✗
UCLA @ USC -1.2 140.4 42% 82–76 ✓
Iowa State @ Arizona +3.0 149.7 73% 75–86 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -5.1 136.6 29% 66–41 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.